Windows 10: Windows 10 Adoption Already Slowing Down

Windows 3.0 sold 800,000 copies in first 2 months, by Jul 1990
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Windows 3.0 sold 10-million copies in 2 years, by Apr 1992
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Windows 3.1 sold more than 100 million copies by Aug 1995
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Windows 95 copies hit the 1 million sold mark 1 week after release in Aug 1995
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Windows XP sold 32 million copies by May 2002 - after 7 months of sales (first sold Oct 25 2001)
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Windows Vista sold 20 million copies first month (Mar 2007)
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Windows Vista sold 100 million copies in the first 100 days (May 2007)
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Windows 7 released October 22, 2009 - "In just six months, over 100 million copies had been sold worldwide, increasing to over 630 million licenses by July 2012, and a market share of 60.75% of "desktop operating systems" as of July 2015" - Wikipedia
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Windows 8 released October 26, 2012. "Despite these shortcomings, 60 million Windows 8 licenses have been sold through January 2013, a number which included both upgrades and sales to OEMs for new PCs." - Wikipedia
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Windows 8.1 released On October 17, 2013. "Market Share - According to Net Applications, the adoption rate in March 2015 for Windows 8.1 was at 10.55%, three times that of the original Windows 8 at 3.52%"- Wikipedia
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Windows 10 released On July 29, 2015. In less than 3 weeks, 53-million installs.

 

Oh yes it can be done, having a large product grow in % a year for many many years. It "just" needs to be a product people buy, use, trash, and buy new next time they want/must use it ... like toilet-paper. Not many are reusing that, I think! The trick is to invent something that has a short livespand and that all people use every day *Haha

But for an OS you are absolutely right. Of course it will slow down after the first big wave is done.

 

Remember that Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella said he'd consider it a success if they had around 1 Billion Windows 10 devices in three years.

Three

Years

And that will include a lot of new devices being purchased.

So they aren't worried about the small spikes and downturns just a couple of weeks into the process I suspect.

http://www.franchiseherald.com/articles/33648/20150730/microsoft-launches-windows-10-promised-1-billion-users-in-3-years-to-shareholders.htm

 

Love the perspective that Antilope's clip gives. Shows human nature and the demand curve doesn't change much over time!

This exercise shows up three main personality types where change is concerned. There are those who want to jump on board a new product and work like beavers to get it right, there are those who may try it but look for any excuse to justify their original predisposition to stay where they are, and there are those who just won't try anything new unless forced.

As a long time Insider I must be in the first group!

But businesses are in a different position from individuals. It is a HUGE scary decision to move from a well running OS to a new one. Mass moves for business uptake will take time. Probably a lot of time, especially as they don't get a freebie in the first year.

While I am an 'early adopter', I hesitated when a person in a small organisation I do support work for asked about this Win 10 prompt she was getting and whether she should go with it. This organisation only has five computers but, nevertheless, they don't need any work disruption, especially as my aim would be to have win 10 look and work just like their win 7 and 8.

So, risk versus questionable immediate gain. I am still thinking about this one!

Cheers, all, and whichever OS we want to use, good luck.

 

That's interesting isn't it, I suspect 8.1 to 10 is a more natural curve, even a welcome change than 7 to 10.

 

I have gone back to Win 8.1 because it works better than Win10 *Cool better luck next time.

 

I did the whole reserve windows 10 on my laptop (Hell, it prompted me to do it, I didn't instigate the request) and it's still not told me it's time to upgrade yet. I imagine there are plenty out there that are still sitting on the sidelines waiting on Microsoft to give them the go ahead.

Personally I'm fine not doing it to the laptop, as I want to have something under my full control (i.e. not forcing updates on me) but the good part was that it made me update my desktop with some KB updates that were preventing it from asking me if I wanted to reserve a copy for the desktop.

Oh and my partners Win 8.1 laptop... Same situation, it prompted him to reserve his copy of 10 and he did but he's still not been notified to upgrade and like me he's not in any hurry to really do it to his laptop now that his desktop is upgraded to 10.

 

We were looking to start deployment where I work in January 2016, but we've put the brakes on that for now.

There is so much more wrong with Windows 10 than we had anticipated.

There are numerous potential privacy issues, and we have compliance issues to deal with.

There are numerous bugs, especially in the Modern apps.

There is severe instability with the Start menu.

The way Windows 10 can be imaged is poor, at best. Why can Modern apps not be opened and customized in Audit Mode and copied to the default profile? Why are the settings for Modern apps inside accounts created before Sysprep wiped out upon Sysprep being run? Why can't built-in Modern apps be updated before deployment?

I have to say, we're really disappointed at this point. Could that change? Sure. But Microsoft has got to start thinking of enterprise and they are going to lose them. I really wonder if Microsoft gets it, anymore.

 

You're lucky! I DID get the notification and made the mistake trying to do the Win10 Upgrade. You would think that since the Win10 Compatibility Checker gave me a clean bill of health for the upgrade (NO hardware problems, NO software problems) that the upgrade would have been a success. But no -- it trashed my laptop, leaving it in an unusable state! I had to buy Recovery Media from HP for it and completely rebuild it to get it back working. And the HP Support forums are full of such threads of other folks having similar serious problems. So -- don't be in a hurry to upgrade.

 

I'm guessing your Modern Apps issues are because Modern Apps, including settings, are tied to your Microsoft Account. Likely a per user type of deal.

 

It happens even when using a local user account or a domain user account.

In any case, ideally when you're in Audit Mode, you would be able to open the Modern apps and customize their settings and -- when you run Sysprep generalization with CopyProfile set -- it would copy those settings to the default profile.

And if you're in Audit Mode, it would let you update the built-in Modern apps and -- when running Sysprep generalization with CopyProfile set -- it would automatically stage any apps installed in the Administrator for all new users so that new users automatically get those updated apps upon logging in the first time.

And if you create a user account before Sysprep generalization is run, it should just leave those settings and apps alone in that account -- period. I have no clue whatsoever why Sysprep messes with accounts that have already been created.

 

Well stories like that to laptop users, and stories of the laptop tracpads and the wifi being inop upon upgrading was certainly some of the things that have kept us from upgrading our laptops.

The company I work for (which is rather smaller side at only 1300 employees) when I talked to one of the I.T. guys he said they're not even considering upgrading to 10 and probably won't for another year or two, they tell me it simply doesn't need to be done at this point when 7 is working fine for them.

 

I moved from 7 to 10 and not looking back. Technology changes! Just to stay even you have to change with it. Yes 7 like XP was stable and solid. However those of us that's been around know they didn't start off that way. While 10 is not perfect, it does have some nice features and like XP and 7 it has a good base to build from.
Heck, remember visiting a BBS on a 300 baud modem, then 2400, 9600 and into the internet with speeds that were once unthinkable. Yes I lost some things from 7 to 10. But right now, I'm sticking with 10 and it's potential.

 

This is one stat that you don't hear much on this forum, but it would be interesting to see. Nonetheless, I have no problem believing that Windows 10 will be every bit as popular as Windows 7 was up to a couple of weeks ago. And as Windows 10 matures and morphs into something else, it should be a hit with businesses. Eventually, it will be the only Windows release on the block. 2020 really isn't that far away, and since the end of the line for Windows 7 is in January of that year, businesses will want to migrate sooner than later.

 

"there are those who may try it but look for any excuse to justify their original predisposition to stay where they are,"

Notice the totally missing 4th personality type - those who try it and dogfood it for 9 solid months trying to like it and make it work, submitting feedback to MS and participating in the forums, and find that the benefits just don't outweigh the change.

The notion that anyone who isn't 100% *woot!* on board 'hates change', or is 'afraid of change' is, I am afraid, rather obnoxious bullsh*T.